After a few more months of hard work, most of it outside of the public eye, I am happy to announce Blurity 0.2.  No, that’s not 2.0 — it’s 0.2, indicating that this is the much-improved second beta release.

Blurry photos, be gone!

Blurity has a new look, faster interaction, and — most importantly — a much-improved deblurring engine.

Is it perfect? No.  Not by a long shot.  But I do believe that Blurity now meets the inclusion criteria for the category of “somewhat useful.”

That said, there are some caveats.  A few ways to be disappointed:

• Submitting a huge image and expecting processing to be done nearly instantly.  It takes a while, as in five or more minutes, to process most images.
• Trying to use it from a non-Webkit smartphone.  If your phone runs Android, iPhone OS 3.0+, or WebOS (e.g., the Palm Pre), your experience should be quite decent.
• Expecting miracles.  If the blur in the image is extreme, if the noise in the image is crazy, if the image compression is incredibly aggressive, if the image is really small, if the photo is horribly overexposed… well, then, Blurity probably won’t work too well.  It works best on moderately blurry, not-too-noisy, not-too-compressed, reasonably large, reasonably well-exposed photographs.
• Selecting a bad focus point.  The focus point should be the part of the image that you most wish would have been sharp.  The deblurring is applied to the entire image, but the focus point is used to model the blur, so it’s important that you choose something reasonable.

I sincerely appreciate the feedback that you all sent my way after the initial release.  Many of the changes in the new version were driven by those comments, and many of the future changes will be linked to comments that I have yet to act upon.  Comments on this newer version are appreciated and needed.

With the site now at a point where it isn’t a complete embarrassment, I’m going to begin a marketing push that extends beyond my blogs.  Expect to see and hear more in the coming days as I actively promote it for the first time.

Give Blurity a try.  Make your blurry photos sharp.  Let me know what you think.

(Cross-posted on Northstartup)

A couple months ago, I tweeted about my disappointment over my new Moleskine notebook falling apart.   I loved everything about the design of that notebook, but the construction quality was quite poor.

I complained to the company and soon received this response:

“Dear Sir,

I’m very sorry for the trouble. All the notebooks are hand made and so they are not perfect as the ones made by machine.

We have a strict quality control but sometimes it’s very hard to find the defects.
We will send you a new Moleskine notebook and please, accept our apologise.

Kindest regards,
Vittoria Cleva”

That was in October.  Today, I went out to the mailbox and was pleasantly surprised to find a large letter postmarked from Milan.

I opened the package, and there it was: a brand new soft-cover extra-large plain-page Moleskine notebook.  Woohoo!

I just hope that this one holds up better than the last one…

Moleskine, you’re getting a second chance.

Let’s say that you are given two options.

Option 1: You will receive $350,000 in three years with probability 1.

Option 2: You will receive $2,000,000 in three years with probability p and $0 in three years with probability (1 – p).

How large would p need to be in order for you to be indifferent between the two alternatives?

For the sake of argument, assume that the intangibles are rolled into the monetary amounts.  Also, if you rush out and calculate the risk-neutral answer (0.175), then you’re missing the point.

This is analogous to the choice between working for an established company or starting your own, respectively.  Doing both simultaneously is untenable — or at least it dooms the solo venture to failure.  Numerous conversations with successful entrepreneurs has convinced me of that reality.  No, the choice must be all or nothing.  Put the decision to yourself for all of your chips.

Of course, the answer to that first question gets you only so far.  It informs you about your tolerance of risk, but more data is needed for an informed decision.  You must estimate the probability that the venture will be successful; in other words, estimate the actual value of p, not just your own indifference threshold.

The conventional rule of thumb is that 1 out of 10 startups succeeds.  I believe that understates the likelihood of success in the high-tech software field.  Part of the problem is the definition of success: an exit (acquisition or IPO) where the founder nets $2 million wouldn’t be considered exceptional; in fact, depending on circumstances, it might not be considered a success.  Based on my own conversations with entrepreneurs and investors, I believe that the success rate — defined here as the company being at least sustainable — is closer to 30-50%.  That’s not bad.

So, what’s your value of p?

Is the “unlimited” data usage plan for the Droid actually capped?  No.

A while back, there was an uproar in the tech community about the true nature of Verizon Wireless’s mobile broadband data plans. The plans had been advertised as “unlimited,” but customers began to report that usage in excess of 5 GB resulted in repercussions from Big Red. Eventually, Verizon capitulated, in a way, and began advertising its top-tier mobile broadband plan as a “5 GB” plan instead of an “unlimited” plan.

I’ve had a Verizon mobile broadband PC card since early July, and I can verify that the 5 GB cap and $0.05/MB overage charges are very real.

My data plan usage, as seen on the Verizon web site. Compare my mobile broadband card (top) with my Droid (bottom) and notice the different cap limits. Specifically, note that the upper limit for the Droid is "unlimited."

Last Friday, I pulled the trigger on a Droid, which requires the Verizon “Email and Web for Smartphone” service ($30/mo) in addition to a normal voice plan. Curiously, the allowed data usage was described as “unlimited.”

My Droid service summary from the VZW web site

Try as I might, I could not find any mention on Verizon’s site or in my contract, anywhere, of an upper limit on the data usage for my Droid. Nothing in the Acceptable Usage Policy.  Nothing in the Web & Email for Smartphones plan description.  Nothing in the Data Terms and Conditions.

There seems to be some belief that a cap exists regardless, but if it does, I couldn’t find it.   The closest thing seems to be a phrase in the AUP about “excessive consumption of network or system resources whether intentional or unintentional,” but the context of that restriction (as indicated by the example given in the relevant paragraph) appears to be malicious activity like DoS attacks.

Still, I wanted validation of my beliefs in writing from Verizon. I emailed customer service, and a few hours later, I received this response from “Lynn”:

Direct from VZW: Droid data is truly unlimited.

The only reasonable conclusion: there are no bandwidth restrictions for the Droid.

Based on my (completely legitimate) usage over the past couple of days, I’m on track to use about 7.4 GB this month with my Droid.  (Granted, most of that is from Pandora streaming, but “streaming of audio” is explicitly allowed as a “permitted use” in the data plan description.)

I guess we’ll find out if Verizon stays true to their word.

Ten years ago this autumn, I got my first personal cell phone.  Today, I got my sixth.

Ah, the halcyon days of the late 1990s.  It’s somewhat fitting that my first phone was a Motorola MR30, a big candybar contraption with a monochrome screen and no camera.  It made calls, but it didn’t do much else.  I had service through Aeriel, a long-gone company riding the wave of the digital PCS revolution.

Those were the days when cell phones were still novelties.  I was one of only a handful of people in my high school circle of friends to have a cell phone.  I was also one of the only people in the entire school to have a Palm Pilot (the good ol’ Professional model).

As it happened, my mom decided to get a cell phone a few months after me.  She was supposed to get one of the ubiquitious Nokia 5190 phones, but for unclear reasons, the store gave her a far-superior Nokia 6190 instead.  That phone was much better than my own — it had Snake on it!  An agreeable mother and a SIM card swap later, it was mine!  Loved it.

Jump ahead two years to the summer of 2001.  Aerial had been purchased by Voicestream, which itself was to be acquired by T-Mobile.  The GSM service was spotty down at Rose-Hulman, so I needed a switch.  Enter Verizon and the Motorola StarTAC.

I couldn’t believe how small that phone was.  Moreover, I was amazed by what it could do: I could surf the web (sort of) with the WAP browser.  Amazing!  That was particularly useful a few months later when I, like the rest of the country, was desperately hungry for news in the wake of the September 11th attacks.  I distinctly remember walking around the Rose-Hulman campus under an unusually clear blue sky, hunting through the mobile Yahoo News site for the latest updates.

That StarTAC served me well.  Sure, the antenna broke a few times, but it was solid overall.  Not even a trip through the washing machine could do it in.

Still, three years of service was about enough, and it was time for an upgrade, so in the spring of 2004 I switched to an LG clamshell phone.  I don’t recall what model it was, but I do know that my little brother Wojo had the same model of phone, which I pranked at some point.

About that time, phones with color screens began coming on the market, so when my LG phone broke — at the worst possible time, when I was trying to make calls on the side of the road to deal with an automotive problem — I decided to get my first color phone.  It was a Kyocera KX2, and it was the fall of 2005.

Coincidentally, my little brother Tyler happened to have the same phone.  Maybe it was the appeal of the rotating-face design.  Maybe it was the superior audio quality.  I’m not sure.  What I do know is that phone served me well.  Sure, the camera was garbage, and the web “browser” was slow, limited, and prone to crashing, but the phone did its job.  I liked it enough that I replaced the battery — twice — without replacing the phone.

Four long years later, it’s the present, and today I returned to my roots: Motorola.  Specifically, the Droid.

What an upgrade.  I love it.  I had been resisting the siren song of the iPhone; though I loved the phone, I had no desire to swtich to AT&T.  With the Droid, it’s the best of both worlds: a great handset and a wonderful network.

There are lots of comprehensive Droid reviews out there, so I’ll make my take short: It’s great.

I wonder how it will be upstaged by phone #7?